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1 Dec 2017

Despite dipping approval rating, Trump unlikely to be impeached —Poll

The year since Donald Trump’s election has been packed with controversy and intrigue but, underneath it all, few people seem to have really changed their minds about America’s 45th President.
President Donald Trump's rating. Telegraph photo
His approval rating quickly slumped in the chaotic days after assuming office, with Trump achieving a majority disapproval rating in a record of just eight days. Nine months in, he is far less popular than previous presidents at this stage of his presidency.

At the 100-day milestone, Gallup daily polling showed that just 40 per cent of Americans approved of the way Trump is handling his new job – compared to 55 per cent that disapprove.

Historically, it has usually taken American presidents hundreds of days before they reach a majority disapproval rating.

This has been the case for the last five presidents – with Bill Clinton lasting a record 573 days before more than 50 per cent of Americans disapproved of his presidency.

But Donald Trump smashed this record after surging into the White House on a wave of anti-establishment anger.

It took just eight days for him to gain a majority disapproval rating, according to Gallup, with 51 per cent of Americans saying they disapproved of the President on January 28, 2016.

Trump has faced persistent allegations over Russian connections, fired the head of the FBI, launched tirades against the media, failed to push through healthcare reform and has escalated his rhetoric surrounding North Korea.

However, while there has been an overall drop in public opinion, the President’s approval ratings have remained relatively stable since July, even an uptick following his handling of the Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville and Hurricane Irma.

Indeed, his popularity has actually risen over the past year among certain segments of the population.

Among those who self-identify as being conservatives — although not necessarily Republicans — his approval rating is actually marginally higher than it was at the start of the year, according to YouGov, while, importantly, he is liked better by people who are registered to vote.

His approval rating among registered voters hasn’t dropped below 40 per cent all year.

America’s politics is so extreme that his popularity among Democrats can’t really drop any further, while Republicans seemingly refuse to desert him, no matter what he does.

As it stands, impeachment is still unlikely because it would require a majority in the House of Representatives to go to trial and a two-thirds majority in the Senate to make it happen.

Both the House and the Senate are currently under Republican control, meaning that Trump’s party would have to abandon him for him to be kicked out of office.

However, the bookmakers aren’t ruling out impeachment with the latest odds from Coral showing that there is a 40 per cent chance Trump will fail to make it to the end of his first term in office.

Their latest odds are as follows:
Impeachment or resignation before 2020: 6/4 (40 per cent chance).
To serve full first term: 4/6 (60 per cent chance).

- Telegraph

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