However, till now, November 2016, Boko Haram insurgency is still rampant in the North-east. Below are 7 reasons it won’t end under Muhammadu Buharu’s administration:
1. Backing from ISIS
The Islamic State made known its influence on the Boko Haram sect in August 2016 during its leadership tussle. In a move that very few anticipated, the terror group effected a leadership change that has propelled the erstwhile spokesman, Abu Musab al-Barnawi, to the apex at the expense of the former leader, Abubakar Shekau. With such stronghold from the Middle East, it will be difficulf for the Nigerian troops to defeat Boko Haram.
2. Chibok girls
The Nigerian military have exercised caution in many of its attack on Sambisa forest, the stronghold of Boko Haram due to the fact that some of the kidnapped Chibok school girls live within. NAF when accused of killing some of the girls in August 2016 said it has put-in place a number of measures to avoid the incidence of collateral damage.
To this end, considerable effort is committed to undertaking Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) missions, both day and night, to ensure that only legitimate military targets are engaged. As long as Nigerian troops take this caution, the insurgents will continue to thrive.
3. Financial base
Nobody knows for certain their financial strength or source of income but it is certain that both have been in a consistent rescue of the sect when it comes to finance. Asides, stealing and cattle rustling, it is perceived that Boko Haram has strong financial backup.
4. Military sabotage
In November 2015, two army officers was arrested for acts suspected to be meant to sabotage the military’s fight against terrorism. Furthermore, in October 2016, the Nigerian Army held two officers – a major and a captain – in connection with alleged sabotage of the ongoing counter-terrorism operations in the North-East. These could be suffice as some of the worst sabotages in the Army in recent years.
5. No ‘justice’ for Boko Haram yet
The Boko Haram group carried out its first terrorist attack in Borno in January 2010. The attack was an attempt to avenge the death of the group's founder and then leader Mohammed Yusuf who was ‘killed’ while still in police custody. The other members, led by Abubakar Shekau, set out for what they then referred to as justice but till today, the so-called justice have eluded them. The Buhari government looks not set to give that and hence, should be prepared for its consequences.
6. Terrorism pays
If not other things, suicide bombing will continue to thrive because the bombers are brainwashed, promised 7 virgins among other things God has prepared for them in heave. So far this is propagated and accepted, terrorism will continue in Nigeria.
7. Boko hates Buhari
The sect has made its hate for Mr. President known for many years.
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